Bouncy Bounce for the Tories

The first opinion poll since the budget gives the Tories an eighteen point lead over Labour.

The Telegraph's You Gov Poll puts the Conservatives are on 45 per cent, up four on last month. Labour on 27 per cent, down four, with the Liberal Democrats on 18.

This may be simply a bad reaction to the budget but recent polls were putting the Tory lead at around 8-10 points which was giving Labour some heart.

Converted at the polling stations this would gove David Cameron a majority of around 150 seats.

Mike Smithson also reminds us

It should be noted that this is the first YouGov poll since Smeargate so it should not be taken as a straight reaction to the budget. I’m also none too confident about polls so close to big events like the budget as I was arguing on the previous thread.
So a great poll for Cameron and the Tories but let’s wait a bit until we’ve moved on from the budget period.