Saturday, 31 January 2009

Three Horseman to be joined by a fourth-Is Labour finished?

I was attracted to the headline in this morning's Guardian,Is this the week that Labour lost the next election?

Patrick Wintour's piece is well worth a read.

The appearance of Neil Kinnock, Michael Foot and Jack Jones last Monday is likened to the three horesman of the apocolyse and maybe the fourh will be Gordon Brown?

All five polling organisations - ICM, ComRes, Ipsos MORI, YouGov and Populus - have now given the Tories double-digit leads. Most suggest the Tory resurgence has been at Labour's expense. Brown's second honeymoon last autumn in the wake of his first rescue of the banks has ended, leaving Downing Street deflated.


And the omens are not good

The nightmare for frustrated Labour MPs is that it is going to get a lot worse and, as the IMF predicted this week, there is little to no chance of pointing to any clear signs of recovery before a 2010 election. Darling's spring budget will lead to another downgrading of the public finances in comparison with the forecasts in the November pre-budget report.


For Wintour the only salvation could be the G20 summit in April,when Gordon will project himslef onto the international arena.The problem is that by then it might be too late

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