Another poll shows Tory lead in single figures

The latest in the week' opinion polls hit the front pages this morning.

This time it is the Telegraph whose You Gov survey confirms what the other polls are saying,the Brown bounce continues.

As the paper reports

At the end of May, in the wake of the disastrous Crewe and Nantwich by-election, Labour polled just 23 per cent – its lowest showing since records began – putting it 24 points behind the Tories.
Last month, before the financial crisis escalated, the lead was 20 points. That was reduced to 14 points earlier this month in the immediate aftermath of the party conference season and is now down to nine. Today's poll puts the Tories on 42 points, down three, while Labour are on 33, up two, with the Liberal Democrats on 15. Translated to a general election, the Conservative majority would be only 22

As usual Mike Smithson is on the ball

Brown’s party really needs to see the Tory share slip below 40% from a range of pollsters to have a realistic chance of the outcome being a hung parliament.
Feeding in the latest poll into the UKPollingReport seat calculator and we get CON 333: LAB 265: LD 24: OTH 28 seats. This almost certainly underplays the Lib Dem position but gives a broad view of where we are - a small Conservative majority.