Politics Home predicts Labour will lose in Glasgow

Politics home's Phi's 100 is predicting that Labour will lose the Glasgow East by election to the Scottish Nationalists

A substantial majority of the panel is forecasting a victory for the Nationalists over the Government in the Glasgow seat which Labour would normally regard as very safe. Most (fifty five per cent) think it will be a SNP win with a narrow majority. A further ten per cent of the panel believe that the SNP will win comfortably.

The election will be held on the 24th July just three weeks after the sitting MP David Marshall announced that he was stepping down due to ill health.The Labour party hope that a quick by election will catch the opposition parties on the hop.

This prediction from a panel that already claim some notable correct predictions will increase the pressure on Gordon Brown