Friday, 16 May 2008

Is the tide turning in Crewe


Perhaps it is all not so clear cut in the Crewe and Nantwich by election?

Mike Smithson suggests

There were suggestions yesterday that Labour “private polling” was showing that the by election may not be the foregone conclusion that it appears.....If this is more than just spin to boost the morale of the troops then that would surely trickle out and the betting would move. The chart showing the implied probability of a Labour victory based on the odds points to a Labour boost overnight Wednesday/Thursday but since then it has moved back down again. The timing is in line with the “private poll” rumour.

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