Thursday, 24 April 2008

18 point lead for the Tories

Tomorrow's Telegraph will show the Tories with a wait for it........18 point lead over Labour.Rather a turn around from the ICM in the Guardian earlier this week

The opinion poll - the first since dozens of Labour MPs threatened to vote against Mr Brown's budget plans - records the Conservatives on 44 per cent, with Labour trailing on 26 per cent.
The Liberal Democrats are on 17 per cent. The Conservative lead is the biggest enjoyed by the party since October 1987, just a few months after Margaret Thatcher won her third term.


It would give the party around a 50 seat majority if repeated in a general election.

Furthermore

Mr Brown's leadership is directly questioned by the poll, with two thirds of people believing that he has failed to give the Government a clear sense of direction.


Fraser Nelson at Coffee House speculates

To win, Cameron needs the biggest swing ever achieved by the moderen Conservative party in Opposition. And yet, such a goal is starting to look increasingly likely.


As with the ICM poll Mike Smithson warns

The big issue is what does this say about next Thursday local elections and the big battle in London. Can Labour in the capital duck out of the national trend? Or is this just YouGov - the objective of much left wing criticism at the moment.

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