Pollsters have a big enough challenge in a general election when 60% actually vote - how are they going to perform if the percentage is near to the 24% who bothered to take part in the 1999 Euro parliament vote?
He has therefore looked at the over 55 group of people citing them as being more certain of going to the polls.
On that basis the figures come out slightly differently with the Tories on 24 per cent (28)closely followed bu UKIP on 22 (15)and Labour on 18 (22) and the Lib Dems on 16.(17)
The overall figures are in brackets.
Interesting? well quite possibly.As he says
If the result is anything like the oldest segment here then Labour is a long way behind Farage’s party and will be fighting it out for fourth place with the Lib Dems.
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