How does he work that out?
That's the day after Thursday June 4, polling day for what looks likely to be the combined election for the Euro Parliament and English councils. It is the day when Jack Straw, Geoff Hoon, David Miliband, Harriet Harman and maybe even Alistair Darling, may march a "greybeards/grey suits" delegation into Number 10 and tell Brown he has lost the confidence of his Cabinet (minus Ed Balls and Yvette Cooper).
And the rational
Labour is likely to get a trouncing in the combined Euro/locals poll whoever is the leader. As a result, some of the cannier Blairites believe that toppling Gordon this autumn could mean that Prime Minister Miliband would have his shiny new premiership ruined by a big defeat.
Possibly a little far fetched.But with it becoming unlikely that anything is going to happen in this year,perhaps that is the only point before the 2010 general election when the grey suits think it may work.
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